ENT Burden Atlas

Research attention vs disease burden in otolaryngology, 1995–2024 — a preregistered dynamic census

Laryngeal cancer

Tier: Burden tier · Matched burden cause: Larynx cancer (GBD cause 423), GBD 2023 (DALYs primary).

Publication share of the 14-area pool

3.22.82.42.11.91.43.21.4

Pool share (%) by five-year period. Pool totals: 1995–1999 26,544, 2000–2004 36,611, 2005–2009 50,051, 2010–2014 65,755, 2015–2019 85,380, 2020–2024 128,117.

Period1995–19992000–20042005–20092010–20142015–20192020–2024
Publications8481,0241,1831,3751,6281,763
Share of pool (%)3.19%2.80%2.36%2.09%1.91%1.38%

First-to-last share change: -56.9% (relative). Dynamics label: Unclassified.

Attention–burden ratio (ABR)

-0.18-0.21-0.29-0.49-0.63-1.18+0.00-1.18

log2 ABR by period (dashed line = parity, ABR 1). Last period pairs publications 2020–24 with burden 2020–23 (see Methods).

Period1995–19992000–20042005–20092010–20142015–20192020–2024
log2 ABR-0.18-0.21-0.29-0.49-0.63-1.18
ABR0.880.860.820.710.650.44
Publication share of 7-cause pool (%)5.3%4.7%4.2%3.5%3.1%2.1%
DALY share of 7-cause pool (%)5.9%5.5%5.2%4.9%4.8%4.9%

Burden–research centroid distance

4,3973,3922,3942,1341,5501,4044,3971,404

Great-circle distance (km) between the DALY-weighted burden centroid and the first-author research centroid (arithmetic mean centres; see Methods).

Period1995–19992000–20042005–20092010–20142015–20192020–2024
Distance (km)4,3973,3922,3942,1341,5501,404

First-to-last change: -68.1% (4,397 → 1,404 km). Last-period distances remain large in absolute terms for every cause.

First-author geography

LMIC share of parsed first-author records: 16.3% → 50.4% (this area; pooled across all 14 areas: 7.9% → 39.8%). Share of first authors located in this cause's ten highest-DALY countries: 40.9% → 54.2%.

Decoupling typology

SignalValueDirection (main thresholds)
S — relative change in pool publication share-56.9%down
B — relative change in DALY share of the 7-cause pool-18.1%stable
A — change in log2 ABR-1.01down
Threshold setAssigned type
Low (±15% / ±0.3)Resolution-dilution
Main (±25% / ±0.5)Unclassified
High (±35% / ±0.7)Unclassified

This cause matches no rule under the main thresholds and is reported as unclassified; it is not forced into a type. Its behaviour under the other threshold sets is shown above.

Annualised absolute DALYs for this cause changed +37.9% between the first and last periods. B is a share: a falling B means relative dilution inside the pool, never an absolute decline.

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