Lip and oral cavity cancer
Tier: Burden tier · Matched burden cause: Lip and oral cavity cancer (GBD cause 444), GBD 2023 (DALYs primary).
Publication share of the 14-area pool
Pool share (%) by five-year period. Pool totals: 1995–1999 26,544, 2000–2004 36,611, 2005–2009 50,051, 2010–2014 65,755, 2015–2019 85,380, 2020–2024 128,117.
| Period | 1995–1999 | 2000–2004 | 2005–2009 | 2010–2014 | 2015–2019 | 2020–2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Publications | 1,196 | 1,907 | 2,946 | 4,806 | 7,203 | 11,412 |
| Share of pool (%) | 4.51% | 5.21% | 5.89% | 7.31% | 8.44% | 8.91% |
First-to-last share change: +97.7% (relative). Dynamics label: Technology-ignited.
Attention–burden ratio (ABR)
log2 ABR by period (dashed line = parity, ABR 1). Last period pairs publications 2020–24 with burden 2020–23 (see Methods).
| Period | 1995–1999 | 2000–2004 | 2005–2009 | 2010–2014 | 2015–2019 | 2020–2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| log2 ABR | -0.13 | +0.10 | +0.34 | +0.54 | +0.69 | +0.65 |
| ABR | 0.91 | 1.07 | 1.27 | 1.45 | 1.62 | 1.57 |
| Publication share of 7-cause pool (%) | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% |
| DALY share of 7-cause pool (%) | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% |
Burden–research centroid distance
Great-circle distance (km) between the DALY-weighted burden centroid and the first-author research centroid (arithmetic mean centres; see Methods).
| Period | 1995–1999 | 2000–2004 | 2005–2009 | 2010–2014 | 2015–2019 | 2020–2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distance (km) | 4,706 | 1,048 | 1,369 | 692 | 1,292 | 1,102 |
First-to-last change: -76.6% (4,706 → 1,102 km). Last-period distances remain large in absolute terms for every cause.
First-author geography
LMIC share of parsed first-author records: 14.9% → 58.4% (this area; pooled across all 14 areas: 7.9% → 39.8%). Share of first authors located in this cause's ten highest-DALY countries: 63.7% → 64.3%.
Decoupling typology
| Signal | Value | Direction (main thresholds) |
|---|---|---|
| S — relative change in pool publication share | +97.7% | up |
| B — relative change in DALY share of the 7-cause pool | +8.6% | stable |
| A — change in log2 ABR | +0.78 | up |
| Threshold set | Assigned type |
|---|---|
| Low (±15% / ±0.3) | Technology-ignited |
| Main (±25% / ±0.5) | Technology-ignited |
| High (±35% / ±0.7) | Technology-ignited |
Annualised absolute DALYs for this cause changed +82.9% between the first and last periods. B is a share: a falling B means relative dilution inside the pool, never an absolute decline.
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